sharpfokus
  • Files1
  • ADMF
  • AVIA
  • BBTN
  • BNII
  • ITMG
  • MEGA
  • MPMX
  • MTEL
  • NISP
  • VICI
  • WOMF4
  • Home
  • CVX
  • FB
  • MAR
  • TSN
  • TWTR
  • Presents
  • Kenny
  • Ranks
  • Palmweekly
  • WEHA
  • stockbit
  • TIRA
Picture
Other stocks here

PYPL, looking sharper with higher Cashflow
​Current 105 Target 163 +55%

WATCH THE VIDEO
February 18 2022
1 minute read

Sales jumped 12%
  • Sales jumped 12% in the fourth quarter to 6,918 million dollars vs our 6,491 million dollars forecast.
  • This brings the quarterly average to 3% growth.
  • We predict average growth of another 3% in this next 12 months to bring sales to 7,699 million dollars in the fourth quarter of 2022.
​
Costs up profit down
  • The cash cost ratio went from -72% to -74% profit from 1,087 to 801 million dollars in the fourth quarter.
  • The average cost ratio is at -71% now.
  • We use the average -71% cost ratio to predict a higher 1,452 million dollars profit in the fourth quarter of 2022.
​
Cashflow higher
  • Free cashflow went from 1,286 to 1,550 million dollars in the fourth quarter with -213 million dollars investment spending.
  • Average quarterly Cashflow is at 1,358 million dollars now.
  • We assume the same -213 million dollars investment spending which with higher sales gives a 2,057 million dollars Cashflow in the fourth quarter of 2022.
​
Balance sheet higher leverage
  • Cash declined 7,782 to 5,197 million dollars in the fourth quarter.
  • Liabilities increased 52,444 to 54,076 million dollars so net cash worsened -44,662 to -48,879 million dollars.
  • With our forecast cashflow & a -2,079 million dollars equity payout -5,540 million dollars liabilities payment net cash will be -43,339 million dollars in 12 months time.
​
Valuation, a 55% higher target price
  • PYPL capital raised from the last 20 quarters improved -18,698 to -18,120 million dollars in the fourth quarter. with 908 million dollars new liabilities, a -1,486 million dollars equity payout & will be -10,501 million dollars in12 months time.
  • At the current market value of 122,600 million dollars based on our forecasts it’s at 1.7 X assets with a 9 years payback & a 2% yield.
  • Our cashflow forecast is 7,619 million dollars which means an 16 X valuation. A 25 X valuation gives a 55% higher target price of 163 dollars.
MODEL, DATA & CHARTS
  • Files1
  • ADMF
  • AVIA
  • BBTN
  • BNII
  • ITMG
  • MEGA
  • MPMX
  • MTEL
  • NISP
  • VICI
  • WOMF4
  • Home
  • CVX
  • FB
  • MAR
  • TSN
  • TWTR
  • Presents
  • Kenny
  • Ranks
  • Palmweekly
  • WEHA
  • stockbit
  • TIRA