EAST.jk Sales grew 26%
Current 103 Target 125 + 21%
Feb 6, 2023
1 minute read
Sales grew seasonally 26%
Last 5 quarters quarterly sales growth, quarterly sales
145% -10% 11% 2% 26%
21 ; 19 ; 21 ; 21 ; 26 billion rupiah
Margin up profit up
Last 5 quarters cash profit margin, net profit
42% 41% 40% 40% 44%
7 ; 6 ; 7 ; 7 ; 10 billion rupiah
Cashflow less positive
Last 5 quarters operating, investment cashflow
13 ; 7 ; 13 ; 8 ; 13 billion rupiah
-6 ; 1 ; -10 ; 2 ; -11 billion rupiah
Net cash down
Last 5 quarters cash, liabilities
1 ; 9 ; 1 ; 6 ; 2 billion rupiah
14 ; 21 ; 20 ; 21 ; 24 billion rupiah
Capital paid
Last 5 quarters capital (raised) paid from liabilities, equity
1 ; 1 ; -1 ; -3 ; -0 billion rupiah
7 ; 0 ; 12 ; 7 ; 7 billion rupiah
Feb 6, 2023
1 minute read
- Last 12 months sales growth + 28%
- Last 12 months cash flow + 5% of market cap
- Last 12 months Capital (debt & equity) paid (raised) + 5% of market cap
- Latest cash minus liabilities -5% of market cap
Sales grew seasonally 26%
Last 5 quarters quarterly sales growth, quarterly sales
145% -10% 11% 2% 26%
21 ; 19 ; 21 ; 21 ; 26 billion rupiah
- Sales grew 26% in the fourth quarter to 26 billion rupiah .
- This brings the quarterly average to 7% growth.
- We predict average growth of 4% in this next 12 months to bring sales to 30 billion rupiah in the fourth quarter 2023.
Margin up profit up
Last 5 quarters cash profit margin, net profit
42% 41% 40% 40% 44%
7 ; 6 ; 7 ; 7 ; 10 billion rupiah
- The cash profit margin went from 40% to 44% net profit from 7 to 10 billion rupiah in the fourth quarter.
- The average margin is at 42% now.
- We use a 42% cash profit margin to predict a 11 billion rupiah net profit in the fourth quarter 2023.
Cashflow less positive
Last 5 quarters operating, investment cashflow
13 ; 7 ; 13 ; 8 ; 13 billion rupiah
-6 ; 1 ; -10 ; 2 ; -11 billion rupiah
- Free cashflow went from 10 to 2 billion rupiah in the fourth quarter with -11 billion rupiah investment cashflow.
- Average quarterly Cashflow is at 6 billion rupiah now.
- We assume -5 billion rupiah investment spending which with higher sales gives 7 billion rupiah average Cashflow in the next 12 months.
Net cash down
Last 5 quarters cash, liabilities
1 ; 9 ; 1 ; 6 ; 2 billion rupiah
14 ; 21 ; 20 ; 21 ; 24 billion rupiah
- Cash declined 6 to 2 billion rupiah in the fourth quarter.
- Liabilities increased 21 to 24 billion rupiah so net cash was down -15 to -23 billion rupiah .
- With our forecast cashflow & a -23 billion rupiah equity payout -4 billion rupiah liabilities net cash will be -19 billion rupiah in 12 months time.
Capital paid
Last 5 quarters capital (raised) paid from liabilities, equity
1 ; 1 ; -1 ; -3 ; -0 billion rupiah
7 ; 0 ; 12 ; 7 ; 7 billion rupiah
- EAST.jk paid 6 billion rupiah in the fourth quarter -0 billion rupiah liabilities 7 billion rupiah equity, will pay 27 billion rupiah this next 12 months.
- At the current market cap of 425 billion rupiah based on our forecasts it’s at 1.49 X assets with a 10 years payback & a 5% yield forecast.
- Our cashflow forecast is 27 billion rupiah which means a 16 X valuation. A 19 X valuation gives a 21% higher target price 125 rupiah.
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