DOID cashflow positive sgain
DOID Current 364 Target 544 + 49%
Aug 6, 2022
1 minute read
Sales grew 18%
Last 5 quarters growth & sales million dollars
18% 31% 27% 6% 18%
189 248 314 332 391
Costs up profit up
Last 5 quarters cost ratio & profit million dollars
-86% -77% -81% -83% -84%
-7 17 16 -1 6
Cashflow positive again
Last 5 quarters operating & investment million dollars
44 -6 41 -2 59
-15 -93 -221 -95 -42
Net cash up
Last 5 quarters cash & liabilities million dollars
105 357 194 138 133
779 1,144 1,370 1,372 1,350
Capital improved
Last 5 quarters cumulative capital , liabilities & equity
192 -158 -176 -215 -197
0 -350 -18 -42 1
-0 0 0 3 17
Aug 6, 2022
1 minute read
- Last 12 months cash flow -166% of market cap
- Last 12 months Capital -180% of market cap
- Latest net cash -563% of market cap
Sales grew 18%
Last 5 quarters growth & sales million dollars
18% 31% 27% 6% 18%
189 248 314 332 391
- Sales grew 18% in the second quarter to 391 million dollars; our forecasts v sales is -1% now.
- This brings the average to 20% growth.
- We predict average growth of 4% in this next 12 months to bring sales to 452 million dollars in the second quarter 2023.
Costs up profit up
Last 5 quarters cost ratio & profit million dollars
-86% -77% -81% -83% -84%
-7 17 16 -1 6
- The cash cost ratio went from -83% to -84% profit from -1 to 6 million dollars in the second quarter.
- The average cost ratio is at -81% now.
- We use the average -81% cost ratio to predict a 28 million dollars profit in the second quarter 2023.
Cashflow positive again
Last 5 quarters operating & investment million dollars
44 -6 41 -2 59
-15 -93 -221 -95 -42
- Free cashflow went from -97 to 17 million dollars in the second quarter with -42 investment cashflow.
- Average quarterly Cashflow is at -90 million dollars now.
- We assume the same -42 million dollars investment cashflow which with higher sales gives 13 million dollars average Cashflow in the next 12 months.
Net cash up
Last 5 quarters cash & liabilities million dollars
105 357 194 138 133
779 1,144 1,370 1,372 1,350
- Cash declined 138 to 133 million dollars in the second quarter.
- Liabilities declined 1,372 to 1,350 million dollars so net cash was up -1,234 to -1,217 million dollars .
- With our forecast cashflow & a 0 million dollars equity payout -54 million dollars liabilities payment net cash will be -1,059 million dollars in 12 months time.
Capital improved
Last 5 quarters cumulative capital , liabilities & equity
192 -158 -176 -215 -197
0 -350 -18 -42 1
-0 0 0 3 17
- DOID cumulative capital improved -215 to -197 million dollars with + 1 & + 17 million dollars from liabilities, equity in the second quarter & will be -143 million dollars in12 months time.
- At the current market value of 216 million dollars based on our forecasts it’s at only 0.14 X assets with a 27 years payback & a 0% yield.
- Our cashflow forecast is 54 million dollars which means a 4 X valuation. A 6 X valuation gives a 49% higher target price 544 rupiah.
